Trump beats Biden in Congressional District 3?

Credit: Newsday/Siena College Research Institute Poll released today
 

A startling but overlooked finding in today's  Newsday's/Siena College Research Institute poll about the special election in Congressional District 3 is the difference between who voters would choose in a hypothetical race between former Republican president Donald Trump and Democratic President Joe Biden.

Trump, who is seeking to run again in November, leads Biden, who is seeking re-election this year, 47 percent to 42 percent. The poll's 4.2 percent margin of error doesn't totally eliminate Trumps' 5 point lead.

That's quite a turnaround from 2020.

According to the Cook Political Report, Biden carried the district by eight points over Trump in 2020 and the district still leans Democrat.

In the headline race in next week's special election for the vacant District 3 Congressional seat,  the Newsday poll found Democrat Tom "Suozzi, who represented the 3rd District from 2017 to 2022, leads (Mazi) Pilip, a second-term Nassau County legislator, in the poll 48% to 44% — within the poll's margin of error of 4.2%."

Insiders say the race is neck and neck, with Pilip slowly pulling up to Suozzi in recent weeks.

Former U.S. Rep. Steve Israel, who once held the 3rd District seat, told News12 this weekend, "It's too close to call at this point. It's all going to be based on turnout."
                                                                          


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